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Tropical Storm Outlook


National Hurricane Center Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

NHC Atlantic Outlook

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Atlantic 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
Atlantic 5-Day Graphical Outlook Image


SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
415 PM EDT THU JUL 31 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A Hurricane Hunter aircraft has continued to investigate the
low pressure system located about 500 miles east of the Windward
Islands. Observations from the aircraft indicate that this system
is producing winds of up to 40 to 45 mph in the northern portion of
the circulation. Showers and thunderstorms could redevelop over
the low tonight or Friday, which could result in tropical cyclone
formation. Regardless of development, winds of gale force are
likely to spread across portions of the Lesser Antilles beginning
early Friday. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should continue
to monitor the progress of this disturbance as it moves
west-northwestward near 20 mph, and watches or warnings may be
required for some of these islands later tonight or Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Pasch


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

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Eastern Pacific 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
Eastern Pacific 5-Day Graphical Outlook Image


TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU JUL 31 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Satellite images indicate that the low pressure area located about
1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula is gradually becoming better organized. Environmental
conditions are conducive for additional development, and a tropical
depression is expected to form during the next day or two while the
system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. An area of low pressure located about 1500 miles east-southeast of
the Big Island of Hawaii is producing disorganized cloudiness and
showers. Upper-level winds are only marginally favorable, and any
development of this system should be slow to occur while it moves
westward at about 10 mph during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

3. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred
miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, are associated with a tropical
wave. Some gradual development is possible during the next few days
while this system moves westward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Forecaster Berg