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Tropical Storm Outlook


National Hurricane Center Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

NHC Atlantic Outlook

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Atlantic 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
Atlantic 5-Day Graphical Outlook Image


TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad area of low pressure is located over the Bay of Campeche
about 300 miles east-southeast of Tuxpan Mexico. An Air Force
Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft is currently investigating the
low to see if a well-defined center of circulation has formed.
Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for development, and
this system is likely to become a tropical depression later today or
on Tuesday while it moves west-northwestward near 10 mph. Interests
along the western Gulf coast of Mexico should monitor the progress
of this disturbance, since watches or warnings could soon be
required. Regardless of development, this system will produce heavy
rainfall across the Yucatan Peninsula and southeastern Mexico today
and Tuesday, and across portions of eastern mainland Mexico on
Tuesday and Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Pasch


NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook

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Eastern Pacific 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
Eastern Pacific 5-Day Graphical Outlook Image


TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A trough of low pressure extending several hundred miles west-
southwestward from near the southwestern coast of Mexico continues
to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to
form by late this week while the disturbance moves slowly northward
and then northwestward. Regardless of development, locally heavy
rains are expected over portions of southwestern Mexico later this
week which could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Kimberlain